As of July 2023, we can't accurately predict the highlights of China's agricultural development in 2024 yet. However, based on current trends, the following directions may be likely to show important developments:
Technological innovation
1. Digital agriculture:
Continued expansion of the application of agricultural Internet of Things (IoT). For example, more intelligent sensors will be used in fields to monitor soil moisture, nutrient content, and crop growth status in real time. This allows farmers to make more precise irrigation, fertilization, and pest control decisions, improving resource utilization efficiency and crop yields.
Big data and artificial intelligence driven agricultural management platforms may become more sophisticated. These platforms can analyze historical data on weather, market prices, and crop yields to provide farmers with better production plans and market oriented planting and breeding suggestions.
2. Biotechnology:
Genetically modified and gene editing technologies may make further progress in crop breeding. For instance, the development of genetically modified crops with higher resistance to pests, diseases, and environmental stresses (such as drought and saline alkali soil) may enter new experimental or even small scale commercial cultivation stages. Gene editing techniques could be used to improve the quality traits of traditional crops, such as enhancing the nutritional value of grains or the shelf life of fruits.
Sustainable development
1. Soil conservation and improvement:
There will be a greater emphasis on measures to combat soil degradation. For example, large scale implementation of conservation tillage methods like no till or minimum till farming, which can reduce soil erosion, improve soil structure, and increase soil organic matter content.
More efforts may be made to remediate saline alkali soils. Through the combination of biological, physical, and chemical methods, convert saline alkali lands into arable lands with certain productivity, thereby expanding the area of available agricultural land.
2. Water saving agriculture:
The popularization of water saving irrigation technologies such as drip irrigation and micro spray irrigation will continue. In water scarce regions, more efficient water saving irrigation systems will be constructed, and water management models based on water use quotas and water rights trading may be further explored to ensure the sustainable use of agricultural water resources.
Agricultural industrialization and supply chain integration
1. Farmers' cooperatives and agribusiness development:
The scale and strength of farmers' cooperatives may be further enhanced. These cooperatives will play a more important role in unifying agricultural production standards, promoting brand building, and jointly participating in market competition. For example, cooperatives can jointly purchase agricultural production materials at a lower cost and jointly sell agricultural products to obtain better prices.
Leading agribusinesses may further expand their industrial chains upstream and downstream. They may integrate more closely with farmers through订单农业 (contract farming) and other forms, providing farmers with not only production materials and technical guidance but also stable product sales channels.
2. Cold chain logistics and agricultural product preservation:
With the increasing demand for fresh agricultural products in the market, the cold chain logistics system for agricultural products will be further improved. The construction of cold chain storage facilities at the origin of agricultural products, the improvement of cold chain transportation equipment, and the establishment of a seamless connection cold chain logistics network will help reduce post harvest losses of agricultural products and ensure the quality and safety of fresh agricultural products in long distance transportation and storage.
Policy support and rural talent cultivation
1. Policy incentives:
The government may continue to introduce policies to support agricultural development, such as providing more subsidies for agricultural machinery purchase, new agricultural technology promotion, and agricultural environmental protection. Tax incentives and preferential loan policies for agricultural enterprises and farmers may also be adjusted and optimized to promote the investment and development of the agricultural industry.
2. Rural talent introduction and cultivation:
More efforts will be made to attract talents to return to rural areas to engage in agricultural entrepreneurship and innovation. For example, by providing创业补贴 (start up subsidies), training opportunities, and good living and working environments, encourage college students, migrant workers with certain skills, and entrepreneurs to participate in agricultural development in rural areas. At the same time, strengthen the training of local farmers, improve their agricultural production skills and modern agricultural management awareness.
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